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Method for lightweight crack segmentation based on convolutional neural network
SHUI Yuhang, ZHANG Hua, CHEN Bo, XIONG Jinsong, FU Meiqi
2023, 42 (8): 110-120.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20230812
Abstract749)      PDF(pc) (2429KB)(580)       Save
When the general segmentation model is applied to the apparent cracks in the dam face concrete, the network suffers the problem of depth increasing that leads to excessive model parameters and certain loss of effective crack features. To reduce network memory occupation and feature loss, this paper develops a lightweight crack segmentation method based on a convolutional neural network. The network adopts an encoding-decoding structure, and uses a depth-separable convolution module and a lightweight feature extraction module to construct a cascade encoder; it is equipped with a decoder to fuse cross-scale information in the second stage of the encoder and to reconstruct the pixel-level geometric information lost in feature extraction to improve the accuracy of network segmentation. The experimental results show the model size of the network trained on the crack dataset of dam face concrete is 10.8 MB or a size reduction of 90.8% from U-Net, with its PA of 73.3% and IoU of 85.4%. The results verify the network is feasible in dam face crack segmentation and useful for improving the efficiency of dam face detection and maintenance.
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Evolution and historical comparison of hot droughts in Yangtze River basin in 2022
JIANG Yutong, HOU Aizhong, HAO Zengchao, ZHANG Xuan, FU Yongshuo, HAO Fanghua
2023, 42 (8): 1-9.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20230801
Abstract412)      PDF(pc) (5139KB)(2054)       Save
Based on the fifth generation atmospheric reanalysis dataset ERA5 of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), we define two types of hot droughts or compound drought-hot events-simultaneous occurrences of meteorological drought/agricultural drought and high temperature. We examine the evolution of such an event occurred in the Yangtze River basin in the summer of 2022, and evaluate the variations in its several characteristics such as duration and spatial coverage. The results show that this hot drought began in June, became most severe in August, and weakened in September; its spatial scale varied significantly, starting from the middle and lower reaches, gradually expanding to the whole basin, and reducing to the middle and lower reaches by September. And compared with typical events in historical periods, its characteristic values were the largest. We find a significant increase in the characteristic values of the two types of compound drought-hot events in July and August from 1979 to 2022. The results deepen our understanding of the hot droughts and extreme events in a river basin and can be useful for coping with extremes under global warming.
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Study on capacity design for hybrid pumped storage-wind-photovoltaic multi-energy complementary system
ZHANG Pengfei, MA Chao, LI Shiyu
2024, 43 (10): 1-16.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20241001
Abstract394)      PDF(pc) (6772KB)(806)       Save
The hybrid pumped storage-wind-photovoltaic multi-energy complementary system has broad application prospects. However, its capacity design needs to characterize the complex relationship between the water volume and electric power, and its economic evaluation should consider the rules of electricity markets. This paper describes a new two-stage optimization framework for optimizing operation and capacity decision. First, a consistent assumption for the target gross output is presented; and a double-objective operation optimization model is developed. Then, a discrete decision space is obtained through optimization based on a large number of medium and long-term operation cases. Finally, the scheme with the maximized net present value (NPV) is selected. Application in a case study of the clean energy base in the upper Yellow River gives the conclusion as follows. New energy capacities corresponding to high, medium and low acceptance degrees of load loss risks are 3.2-3.9 times, 2.4-3.0 times, and 1.6-2.1 times that of the mixed pumping and storage capacity, respectively. The peak to valley ratios of the system's monthly electricity delivery range from 1.36 to 1.45, indicating the power sources in the system are well complementary on the medium and long time scales.
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Optimal capacity configuration for hydroelectric-thermal-wind-photovoltaic-storage multi-energy complementary system based on sequential power generation simulations
JIANG Mengyan, WANG Xiao, DONG Chuang, WANG Sheliang, ZHOU Heng, GAO Jie
2024, 43 (3): 71-83.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240307
Abstract379)      PDF(pc) (1804KB)(684)       Save
Sequential power generation simulations play a critical role in the capacity configuration of hydroelectric-thermal-wind-photovoltaic-storage multi-energy complementary systems. In practice, 8760-hour system operation are hard to simulate directly using an optimization model because of its large scale. In this paper, a new time-scale decomposing technique is developed to solve this problem and realize the accurate simulations of 8760-hour system operation. Based on this, a two-stage optimization model is constructed for capacity configuration of a grid-connected multi-energy complementary system that comprises thermal power, hydropower, wind, photovoltaic, pumped-storage, and electrochemical energy storage. This new model was applied to the Qinghai power grid and achieved an optimized configuration of the system’s capacity of wind, photovoltaic, and pumped-storage.
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Influence of climate change on Qinghai Lake stage and its mechanism analysis
LUO Zhuoran, LIU Jiahong, ZHANG Shanghong, ZHOU Jinjun, ZHANG Li, SHAO Weiwei
2024, 43 (3): 1-13.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240301
Abstract371)      PDF(pc) (6793KB)(577)       Save
To systematically analyze the variations in the Qinghai Lake stage under climate change and the related influence mechanism, this paper presents a quantitative analysis of the spatiotemporal changes in the hydrological and meteorological factors of the lake basin, using a combination of time series analysis, a geostatistical interpolation method, and correlation analysis based on the data collected at the observation stations over the basin during 1956-2020. We use the global climate model to estimate the varying trends of precipitation and lake stage under different scenarios. The results show that during the past 50 years, the stage and surface area of the lake presented a general trend of decreasing first and then increasing, while an increasing trend occurred in runoff, precipitation and temperature, and a decreasing trend in evaporation. The lake stage was affected significantly by runoff, precipitation, temperature and evaporation; the correlation coefficients were as high as 0.95, 0.92, 0.88 and 0.81, respectively. We project that from 2021 to 2040, the lake stage will take a rising trend, showing an annual average rising rates of 0.218, 0.187, 0.125 and 0.132 m/a under four different scenarios. Quantitative analysis of the lake behaviors under climate change in this study lays a basis for future studies on the water cycling mechanism of plateau lakes.
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Research progress and challenges to studies on deformation and stability of high steep slopes in hydropower projects
ZHOU Chuangbing, JIANG Qinghui, YAO Chi, WEI Wei, HU Ran
2025, 44 (1): 1-17.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20250101
Abstract328)      PDF(pc) (4298KB)(693)       Save
The deformation and stability analysis of high steep slopes is a key technical problem in the construction and operation of hydropower projects. Over the past two decades, China has built a large number of large-scale water conservancy and hydropower projects. Many key technical problems of high dams and large reservoirs have been solved successfully, and remarkable progress has been achieved in the life cycle performance evolution and safety control of high, steep slopes of reservoirs. This paper takes the performance evaluation of high steep slopes in the southwest hydropower projects as the main research line, and focuses on the deformation and stability evolution of high steep slopes. We examine the research progress in determining the influencing factors of stability and failure modes of high steep slopes, stability evaluation and deformation analysis methods, seepage analysis, and safety control. The latest researches are discussed in detail on the strict three-dimensional limit equilibrium method, modified Hoek-Bray wedge method, rigid body spring method, parameter inversion method based on monitoring data, and slope seepage analysis. We also discuss the academic thinking and technical route and certain future challenges to the life-cycle deformation and stability evolution analysis of high steep slopes in hydropower engineering.
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Experimental study on crack self-healing of hydraulic concrete with mixed microorganisms
MENG Yongdong, WANG Yu, XU Xiaowei, DING Yi, CAI Zhenglong, TIAN Bin
2023, 42 (11): 126-135.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20231112
Abstract279)      PDF(pc) (2089KB)(450)       Save
Hydraulic concrete is prone to erosion and cracking in the wet-dry alternating zones under water level fluctuation. A mixture of aerobic and facultative anaerobic mineralized microorganisms can better adapt to the fluctuating oxygen content in concrete cracks. This study prepares a microbial self-healing agents using the microorganisms of aerobic Bacillus megaterium and facultative anaerobic Sporosarcina pasteurii for two cases-a single component and a mixture of both, and conducts the compressive strength test and permeability coefficient test on the concrete samples. For each case, we evaluate the influence on the performance and crack self-healing effect of hydraulic concrete through a quantitative index analysis of crack repair. An optimal mixing ratio of aerobic and facultative anaerobic has been obtained. A SEM analysis of the samples is used to reveal the microscopic mechanism of mixed microorganisms on concrete performance improvement. The results show that the mixing of mineralized microorganisms can effectively elevate the density of concrete pore structure, and the best effect of calcium carbonate precipitation occurs at the mix ratio 4:6 of Bacillus megaterium and Sporosarcina pasteurii. Under the synergistic influence of aerobic microbial respiration and facultative anaerobic microbial enzymatic action, the mixed microorganisms yield better improvement on the mechanical properties and crack self-healing efficiency of hydraulic concrete.
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IT2FS-MARCOS method for risk assessment of water conservancy engineering construction
SUN Kaichang, XUE Wenli, LI Tingting, CHEN Qianqing
2024, 43 (7): 109-120.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240710
Abstract278)      PDF(pc) (634KB)(431)       Save
How to generate a slip surface is one of the key issues in slope stability analysis, and to construct a slip surface with a complex shape is quite challenging. The curve based on the integral of a Logistic function or other basis functions can take the place of the traditional slip surface generated using non-circular curves, which not only improves the smoothness of the slip surface but reduces its degree of freedom. Slip surface generating methods based on basis functions are sorted out in this paper. They are divided into the superposition method of continuous functions and the integral operation method. The characteristics of the Logistic function and its integral are examined carefully, and the influence of different parameters on the curve shape is obtained to narrow parameter ranges. This provides a basis to reduce the degree of freedom of slip surfaces. And a method is presented to determine the initial parameter values of a given slip surface. The calculations of two slope examples show our method is tolerably good in slope stability analysis.
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Unsafe behavior recognition method of construction workers in water conservancy project
ZHANG Sherong, LIANG Binjie, MA Zhonggang, DONG Fajun, WANG Chao, WANG Xiaohua
2023, 42 (8): 98-109.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20230811
Abstract274)      PDF(pc) (3705KB)(1012)       Save
Unsafe behaviors of construction workers are the key factor leading to safety problems in the construction process of water conservancy project. Most construction sites adopt on-site safety inspection, wearable equipment, real-time monitoring, and other methods to identify unsafe behaviors, but such methods are time-consuming, laborious, expensive with low information level, and unfavorable to the timely discovery and early warning of dangerous behaviors. This paper presents a new method of unsafe behavior identification suitable for large scenes of water conservancy projects based on computer vision and deep learning. First, an improved method of YOLOv5 is developed to solve the problem of missing and wrong detection of small objects in construction workers and machinery in large scenes, and a multi-object object detection model of construction workers and machinery is constructed. Then, based on the target detection model, recognition methods are suggested for each of the routine unsafe behaviors, such as being close to the static danger area, dynamic construction machinery, and not wearing safety helmet, etc. Engineering application verifies that our identification method strengthens the means and intensity of construction site control and improves effectively the level of water conservancy engineering construction safety and intelligent control.
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Feature extraction and intelligent recognition of complicated vibration signals of pump turbine
ZHANG Suqi, LI Hao, ZHANG Yuning, ZHENG Xianghao, DING Haimin, LI Jinwei
2023, 42 (12): 70-78.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20231207
Abstract265)      PDF(pc) (3353KB)(485)       Save
Feature extraction and intelligent recognition of the vibration signals of pump turbines are significant to reliable and safe operation of a pumped storage power station. Due to its complicated operational conditions, a pump turbine in operation can create a large number of physical sources that excite its vibrations, and the frequency components of the vibration signals are quite complicated. The traditional methods suffer a poor accuracy of feature extraction from a complicated vibration signal. To improve the accuracy, this paper describes a new model of feature extraction and intelligent recognition of the vibration signals, based on the variational mode decomposition (VMD), bubble entropy (BE), and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. First, this method analyzes the vibration signal using VMD and obtains several modes. Then for each mode, its BE value is calculated and a BE eigenvector is constructed. Finally, the eigenvectors of the vibration signal are trained and recognized using a LSTM neural network. We have verified the method against the complicated vibration signals measured at the top cover of a pump turbine at the Pushihe pumped storage station, and achieved a signal recognition accuracy of 97.87%, indicating its important engineering application value.
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Cumulative influences and ecological effects of cascade hydropower development on water temperature in upper Yangtze River
ZHOU Yang, WANG Ning, WEN Xiaoxiong, YAN Long, TANG Caihong, ZHU Yulong, ZHANG Shanghong, YI Yujun
2024, 43 (11): 1-16.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20241101
Abstract229)      PDF(pc) (6798KB)(526)       Save
Cascade hydropower development disrupts the continuity of natural river water temperature, leading to a significant cumulative effect on the temperature and a series of ecological effects. This study examines the water temperature along the lower Jinsha River and in the Three Gorges reservoir area , and reveals its spatial and temporal variations on different scales before and after dam construction and the cumulative effects. The impact of water temperature changes on fish spawning is also discussed. The results show that after the Xiluodu and Xiangjiaba dams were constructed, the annual mean water temperature difference along the lower Jinsha becomes smaller; along the river, the annual highest temperature at the hydrological stations shows a decreasing trend, while the annual lowest is significantly elevated, especially in January and December. After the construction, the annual temperature variation is reduced, and the time period featuring water temperature distribution has a trend of ‘convergence’-the days of water temperature distribution changed from M-type to V-type. An examination on the cumulative effect indicator finds that after dam construction, a significant time crowding effect occurs-a lag time in the extreme water temperature, water temperature delayed up to 1 - 2 months, the fish of 48% and 44% affected to a high degree at the Panzhihua section and the section downstream of Xiangjiaba dam respectively-thereby affecting severely the fish spawning and reproduction in the downstream and the fish protection sections. The study demonstrates the cumulative effects of water temperature impacted by cascade dam construction and its impact on fish spawning, laying a basis to enhance the role of temperature changes caused by large-scale cascade dams and the downstream ecological restoration.
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Informer-AD dam deformation prediction model integrating multi-dimensional spatiotemporal information
SU Yan, HUANG Shuxuan, LIN Chuan, LI Yixuan, FU Jiayuan, ZHENG Zhiming
2023, 42 (11): 101-113.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20231110
Abstract218)      PDF(pc) (2759KB)(651)       Save
For the time series prediction issue of dam deformation, a spatiotemporal multi-dimensional input matrix of deformation is derived considering the correlation of deformation at multiple measuring points; an Informer-AD dam deformation prediction model is constructed that integrates multi-dimensional spatiotemporal information based on K-means clustering. We use the K-means clustering to partition rationally the deformation measuring points, then apply a panel data regression model to integrate the analysis of spatiotemporal dimensions and partition results. Finally, we develop an Informer-AD dam deformation prediction model to integrate multi-dimensional spatiotemporal information. This model is used to learn spatial feature sequences and integrate spatial features through a fully connected layer to output predicted dam deformation values. Its application to a concrete gravity dam shows that our prediction method, considering spatiotemporal correlation, can fully explore the relationship of the overall state of dam deformation versus the spatial distribution characteristics of measuring points. It better captures the spatiotemporal characteristics of deformation values and thus improves prediction accuracy, which implies that our model has a high accuracy and satisfactory applicability, useful for engineering application.
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Study on long-term stochastic optimal operation of cascade reservoirs by deep reinforcement learning
LI Wenwu, ZHOU Jiani, PEI Benlin, ZHANG Yifan
2023, 42 (11): 21-32.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20231103
Abstract212)      PDF(pc) (1827KB)(448)       Save
Compared with a single reservoir, cascade reservoirs operation features a state space increasing exponentially. This paper describes a Deep Q-network (DQN) algorithm for deep reinforcement learning to solve the dimension disaster problem that is faced by the table-based reinforcement learning method in optimizing the long-term operation of cascade reservoirs. First, we derive a joint distribution function of stochastic inflow runoffs of the reservoirs based on the Copula function. Then, following the idea of time series difference, we construct a target neural network and a main neural network for approximating the values of the current action state and the next action state, respectively, and use ε-greedy algorithm to obtain optimal operation policy. Finally, the main parameters of reservoir operation are optimized by step to ensure operation efficiency. Compared with the Q-learning algorithm or its modification, the DQN algorithm improves the objective value of optimal scheduling, accelerates convergence, and avoids dimension disaster effectively in the optimization of cascade reservoirs operation.
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Evolution and attribution of hydrological drought in upper Yangtze River Basin over the last 61 years
LI Shuai, ZENG Ling, XIONG Bin, CAO Rui, GONG Wenting, ZHU Wenli
2024, 43 (2): 33-45.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240204
Abstract208)      PDF(pc) (3221KB)(773)       Save
Hydrological drought is jointly affected by climate change and human activities. Revealing the evolution characteristics of hydrological drought and its driving factors in the changing environment will contribute to improving the capacities of drought control and drought resistance. Based on the long time series of meteorological and hydrological data of 1960-2020 from the Upper Yangtze River Basin (UYRB), the present study first generates naturalized runoff time series using multi-model ensemble simulation method, and uses the reconstructed natural runoff to calculate the traditional standardized runoff index (SRIr) for characterizing the hydrological drought under natural conditions. Then, we simulate the time-dependent standardized runoff index (SRIt) using the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) with time as the covariate to represent the hydrological drought under non-stationary environment. Finally, the impacts of climate change and human activities on hydrological drought are distinguished quantitatively by comparative analysis of SRIr and SRIt series. The results show the overall trend of the hydrological drought evolution in this basin under natural conditions is intensified and has been further aggravated by human activities. The dominant factors of its hydrological drought evolution present obvious temporal and spatial differences: on the annual scale, climate change is the dominant factor in the basins of the Jinsha River, Tuo River and Wu River, while human activities are dominant in the Min River, Jialing River, and the whole upper Yangtze basin. Dominant factors of hydrological drought evolution on the seasonal scale are not completely consistent with those on the annual scale.
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Evolution characteristics of drought-flood abrupt alternation events in Yangtze River basin and its socio-economic exposure
MENG Changqing, DONG Zijiao, WANG Yuankun, ZHANG Yuqing, ZHONG Deyu
2024, 43 (4): 34-49.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240404
Abstract207)      PDF(pc) (7739KB)(263)       Save
Drought-flood abrupt alternation (DFAA) refers to a rapid transformation between droughts and floods, which poses great threats to agricultural production and human security. This study, based on the monthly scale magnitude index of DFAA, analyzes four types of historical and future DFAA events in the Yangtze River basin. A time-varying function for the magnitude of DFAA is constructed using a sliding window approach, revealing the future changes in DFAA risk. Shared socio-economic pathways are integrated to quantify the impact extent of changing risk of DFAA on population and economy. The results show that in historical periods, the hotspots of the DFAA events were mainly distributed in the middle and lower reaches of the basin, with drought-flood and flood-drought events occurring 10 - 12 times per decade, and drought-flood-drought and flood-drought-flood events occurring 3 - 4 times per decade. Drought-flood-drought and flood-drought-flood events are projected to significantly increase in the future for the whole basin, and parts of it will experience a growth of approximately seven times. For the historically recorded 50-year DFAA events, the probability of their occurrence will increase by 5 to 10 times in the future, and the population and economy of the basin will be significantly affected.
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Global hydropower development trend and China’s role in context of carbon neutrality
CHEN Guanfu, WANG Xinhuai
2024, 43 (4): 1-11.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240401
Abstract206)      PDF(pc) (1716KB)(919)       Save
Since the Paris Agreement was signed, it has become a broad consensus of the international community to promote global carbon neutrality. Green energy development is the key to achieving carbon neutrality; Hydropower, as a highly flexible renewable energy, will play an important role in the transformation of the global energy structure. The current hydropower development situation is different across the world, due to the difference in economic development levels, hydropower potentials, and the degree of development. And the development of global hydropower faces both opportunities and challenges under the current complex context of global energy transition, climate change, environmental policy impact, and geopolitical conflicts. In recent years, China is leading the development of hydropower and has made remarkable progress. Therefore, the global hydropower industry needs to speak up and take active measures to formulate development strategies from various aspects, deepen the energy revolution, drive the sustainable development of hydropower globally, and push it to continue to play a role as the backbone of tomorrow's novel energy system for a smooth realization of carbon neutrality.
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Numerical analysis of bucket hydro-abrasive erosion in Pelton turbine in sediment season
LI Yanhao, ZHU Yilin, XIAO Yexiang, LIU Jie, LIANG Quanwei, LI Haijun
2024, 43 (2): 15-22.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240202
Abstract206)      PDF(pc) (5171KB)(512)       Save
Sediment erosion is one of the main reasons for the failure of hydraulic components of a Pelton turbine. Especially in sediment season, sediment concentration increases greatly and the process of sand-carrying three-phase flow on the surface of the runner bucket is complicated, so the erosion problem is usually more severe. The Pelton turbine at the Zixia hydropower station in Tibet, planned for construction, is examined in the present work as a case study. This paper focuses on numerical simulations of its flow process of sediment particles on the bucket surface, using the Mansouri erosion model and the Euler-Lagrange method, based on its measured sediment characteristics data provided by the design institute. The characteristics of sediment particle flow and erosion distribution over the bucket surface under high sediment concentration in sediment season are examined. The numerical predictions of surface erosion distribution agree well with previous measurements in literature. The predictions show the bucket erosion concentrates near the water outlet edge of the root and the cutout edge of the bucket. The highest similarity occurs between the distributions of sediment erosion and the impact number, so the impact number imposes a great effect on sediment erosion.
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Study on performance of rainfall-runoff simulations using coupled long short-term memory network and Xin’anjiang model
JI Tongyan, HUANG Pengnian, LI Yanzhong, WANG Jie
2024, 43 (1): 24-34.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20240103
Abstract202)      PDF(pc) (2955KB)(371)       Save
Deep learning techniques have a promising application in rainfall-runoff simulations, but they are limited by the availability of training samples and need coupling with a traditional hydrological model that can provide training data. Selection of coupled data and hyperparameters has a significant impact on the simulation performance of a coupled model, but it lacks deep study. In this paper, we present a rainfall-runoff simulation model by coupling different module data of the Xin’anjiang model with a bidirectional long short-term memory network and optimizing the hyperparameters using the Grey Wolf optimization algorithm, along with an application to the Dongwan watershed. The results show the model improves the simulations of daily runoffs and flood events when coupled with different data, especially runoff data and simulated flow data. The hyperparameter scheme needs to be adjusted to different coupled data, and the Grey Wolf optimization algorithm can meet such a demand. This study provides new ideas and methods for enhancing the runoff simulation capability of the coupled models.
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Medium and long-term joint forecast of power outputs for hydro-wind-photovoltaic complementary energy system
LEI Hongxuan, LIU Pan, MA Li, WU Di, GONG Lanqiang, ZHANG Yang, LIN Dongsheng
2023, 42 (9): 22-33.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20230903
Abstract199)      PDF(pc) (2675KB)(579)       Save
The outputs of hydropower, wind power and photovoltaic in a hydro-wind-photovoltaic complementary energy system (HWPCES) are integrated into the power grid. The traditional method forecasts these three outputs separately and then sums them up as the system’s total power capacity, but such a method suffers from error accumulation and lacks consideration of spatiotemporal complementarity. To improve the forecasting accuracy, first we consider spatiotemporal correlation and complementarity, and select certain predictors from the teleconnection factors and power factors. Then, a point forecasting model and an interval forecasting model are constructed based on the Long Short-term Memory network and the Lower Upper Bound Estimation method. Finally, joint forecasting of the power outputs is achieved. This study selects the Ertan HWPCES as the case study. The results show that in the verification period of total power forecasting, its Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient reaches 0.908 by the joint forecasting method, or an increase of 0.016 compared to the accumulation method. The interval forecasting method achieves a reduction of 0.352 in the coverage width-based criterion. Our new method is useful for complementary operation of hydropower, wind power, and photovoltaic.
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Extracting optimal operation rules for Yalong River cascade reservoirs
ZHONG Sirui, HE Yanfeng, GUO Shenglian, XIE Yuzuo, YU Chuntao, MA Shungang, ZENG Qiang
2023, 42 (10): 50-59.   DOI: 10.11660/slfdxb.20231005
Abstract199)      PDF(pc) (1113KB)(442)       Save
A deterministic model of reservoir optimal operation is usually difficult to be directly applied to practical operation. To improve applicability, we develop a new joint optimal operation model for the Yalong River cascade reservoirs and use the Gaussian radial basis function (RBF) to extract operation rules, and then calibrate the rule and verify its fitting errors. The results show the annual power generation of the cascade is increased by 98.32 billion kW?h or an increase of 8.73% compared with its design value. The new operation processes optimized by the model for the Lianghekou, Jinping I and Ertan reservoirs follow certain common patterns. The determination coefficient of Gaussian RBFs is larger than 90%, and it can fit the operation rules effectively. This achieves a simulated power generation greater than the design value by 51.27 billion kW?h (+5.67%).
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