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水力发电学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (1): 44-54.doi: 10.11660/slfdxb.20260105

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梯级动态建设下金沙江下游水温累积影响分析

  

  • 出版日期:2026-01-25 发布日期:2026-01-25

Analysis of cumulative impact of water temperature in lower Jinsha River under dynamic construction of cascade reservoirs

  • Online:2026-01-25 Published:2026-01-25

摘要: 梯级水电开发是充分利用水能资源的有效开发方法,但不可避免地会对流域水温节律产生累积影响。本研究基于金沙江下游典型水文站长系列水温实测资料,采用MK趋势分析方法和累积影响评价指标探究了上游梯级开发及金沙江下游梯级动态建设过程中的水温累积影响动态变化规律。结果显示:金沙江中游和雅砻江梯级建设运行对金沙江下游江段具有明显的水温累积影响,上游梯级运行后金沙江下游首级电站乌东德库尾水温降温及低温期有上升趋势,升温期存在下降趋势。随着金沙江下游梯级电站的逐步建成并投入运行,金沙江下游水温较天然水温存在差异且影响程度逐阶段加深,水温的迟滞效应和均化程度均逐渐增强,且这种累积影响在各月间存在不同的趋势性变化,整体存在“叠加-趋稳-减缓-逆变”过程。本研究将有助于加深对变化条件下梯级水温累积影响规律的认识,为流域梯级水库生态调度和生物多样性保护提供科学依据。

关键词: 梯级水库, 动态建设, 水温, 累积影响, 金沙江下游

Abstract: Cascade hydropower development is an effective method for fully utilizing hydropower resources, but it inevitably has a cumulative impact on the water temperature rhythm of the watershed. Based on the data series of water temperature monitoring at typical hydrological stations in the lower Jinsha River, this study combines the statistical methods and certain indicators for evaluating cumulative impact, and explores the influence of upstream cascade development on incoming water temperature, focusing on the cumulative impact of water temperature in the dynamic construction process of cascade reservoirs in the lower Jinsha River. Results show the cascade construction in the middle Jinsha River and the Yalong River watershed has imposed a significant impact on water temperature at the inlet section of the lower Jinsha River mainstream. The operation of upstream cascade dams has caused a temperature drop in warming periods and a temperature rise in cooling periods at the tail of the Wudongde Reservoir. As more cascade dams are built and put into operation, a significant difference will emerge in water temperature at the outlet of the lower Jinsha River compared to the natural case, and its influence will become gradually more severe. And the level of hysteresis effect and homogenization of water temperature will be gradually rising. Generally, this cumulative impact manifests different varying trends between months, resulting in an overall process of superposition-stabilization-slowing down-inversion. This study would help deepen our understanding of the impact of water temperature and its cumulative behavior in a reservoir cascade under the changing conditions, and lays a basis for watershed water resource management and regional ecological function maintenance.

Key words: cascade reservoirs, dynamic construction, water temperature, cumulative impact, lower reaches of Jinsha River

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