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水力发电学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (5): 61-71.doi: 10.11660/slfdxb.20250506

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同化卫星测高数据和水文模型的河道日流量估算

  

  • 出版日期:2025-05-25 发布日期:2025-05-25

Estimating daily flow at river cross-sections by assimilating satellite altimetry data and hydrological model

  • Online:2025-05-25 Published:2025-05-25

摘要: 卫星测高数据为无(少)资料地区的水文研究提供了新思路。但测高卫星受限于重访周期而无法提供日尺度监测,限制着水文模拟和预报等应用。通过同化卫星测高数据与新安江模型,提出一种高精度、低成本的河道日流量估算方法。采用Sentinel-3A测高数据反演河道水体高程,基于同期实测水位评价其反演精度,进而结合水位-流量关系约束新安江模型以估算日径流。以乌江流域出水口附近河段为研究对象,研究结果表明测高水位和地面实测水位的相关系数达0.93;测高数据约束下,新安江模型在率定期和验证期的Kling-Gupta效率系数分别为0.87和0.69,且测高数据约束下高流量时段的模拟精度比实测流量约束下的精度更高。研究结果为少资料地区的水旱灾害防御和水资源管理提供理论支撑。

关键词: 卫星测高, 数据同化, 河道流量, 径流模拟, 水文模型

Abstract: Satellite altimetry data offer a promising approach to the hydrological study of data-scarce regions, but the long revisit cycles limit its capability to collect daily data and its applicability to hydrological modeling and forecasting. By assimilating altimetry data into the Xin’anjiang hydrological model, this study presents a new high-accuracy, low-cost method for estimating the daily flow at river cross sections. We first retrieve the river’s water levels using the Sentinel-3A altimetry data and evaluate them against concurrent in-situ data, then integrate the empirical stage-discharge relationship to constrain the Xin’anjiang model. A case study of the Wujiang River basin demonstrates a high correlation coefficient (0.94) exists between the satellite-based water levels and their in-situ measurements. Under the constraint of altimetry data, the Xin’anjiang model has achieved the Kling-Gupta Efficiency values of 0.87 and 0.69 for calibration and validation, respectively. The Xin’anjiang model accuracy for high flow simulations constrained by altimetry water levels is considerably higher than that constrained by in-situ observed discharges. This study offers a new approach to help flood and drought disaster control and water resources management in data-scarce regions.

Key words: satellite altimetry, data assimilation, river flow, streamflow simulation, hydrological model calibration

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