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水力发电学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (8): 1-9.doi: 10.11660/slfdxb.20230801

• •    下一篇

编辑部推荐论文:长江流域2022年高温干旱事件演变及历史对比

  

  • 出版日期:2023-08-25 发布日期:2023-08-25

Evolution and historical comparison of hot droughts in Yangtze River basin in 2022

  • Online:2023-08-25 Published:2023-08-25

摘要: 本文基于欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)第五代大气再分析数据集ERA5,定义了两类复合高温干旱事件(即气象干旱或农业干旱与高温同时发生的事件),对长江流域2022年春夏复合高温干旱事件演变过程进行了分析,评估了其持续时间及覆盖面积等特征及变化规律。研究结果表明,长江流域2022年复合高温干旱事件时间上自6月开始,8月最严重,9月有所缓解,空间上由中下游开始,然后扩大到全流域,9月又缩小至中下游地区;与流域历史典型事件相比,2022年夏季复合高温干旱事件的各特征值均为最大;1979—2022年期间,两类复合高温干旱事件7—8月份的特征值呈现显著增加趋势。本文结果可加深对流域复合高温干旱事件的认识,对于应对气候变暖背景下的极端事件具有重要意义。

关键词: 长江流域, 气象干旱, 农业干旱, 高温, 复合型极端事件

Abstract: Based on the fifth generation atmospheric reanalysis dataset ERA5 of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), we define two types of hot droughts or compound drought-hot events-simultaneous occurrences of meteorological drought/agricultural drought and high temperature. We examine the evolution of such an event occurred in the Yangtze River basin in the summer of 2022, and evaluate the variations in its several characteristics such as duration and spatial coverage. The results show that this hot drought began in June, became most severe in August, and weakened in September; its spatial scale varied significantly, starting from the middle and lower reaches, gradually expanding to the whole basin, and reducing to the middle and lower reaches by September. And compared with typical events in historical periods, its characteristic values were the largest. We find a significant increase in the characteristic values of the two types of compound drought-hot events in July and August from 1979 to 2022. The results deepen our understanding of the hot droughts and extreme events in a river basin and can be useful for coping with extremes under global warming.

Key words: Yangtze River basin, meteorological drought, agricultural drought, hot droughts, compound extreme events

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