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定额回归法在巨型水电工程赶工费补偿中的应用研究

  

  • 出版日期:2026-08-05 发布日期:2026-08-05

Norm Regression Method for Acceleration Cost Compensation: A Case Study of Giant Hydropower Projects

  • Online:2026-08-05 Published:2026-08-05

摘要: 巨型水电工程赶工费争议频发,传统方法存在责任界定难、测算粗放等弊端。本文提出定额回归法,确立“责任界定前置”原则,运用CPM精准锁定发包人责任引发的工期压缩;依托水电定额标准,构建含人工效率系数(α)与机械疲劳系数(γ)的动态模型,解决定额静态消耗与实际工况脱节问题。经乌东德水电站导流洞标段验证,该方法通过回归合同基准期组价,剔除“搭便车”申报,较修正总费用法核减6.9%,形成标准化闭环管理,为同类工程提供具有推广潜力的解决方案。

Abstract: Disputes over acceleration costs frequently arise due to the difficulties in liability determination and crude calculation methods inherent in traditional approaches. This paper proposes a norm regression method, establishing the principle of "front-loading liability determination." By applying Critical Path Method (CPM), it accurately identifies schedule compression caused by the employer’s responsibilities. Grounded in hydropower engineering quotas, a dynamic model incorporating a labor efficiency coefficient (α) and an equipment fatigue coefficient (γ) is constructed to address the disconnect between static quota consumption standards and actual site conditions. Validated at the diversion tunnel section of the Wudongde Hydropower Station, this method utilizes regression analysis on baseline contract pricing to eliminate "free-rider" claims. Compared to the modified total cost method, it achieved a 6.9% reduction in calculated compensation, forming a standardized closed-loop management process. This approach offers a scalable solution for similar projects.

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